Live From Gambier, It’s Election Night 2012

(via Wikimedia Commons)

Welcome, Thrill readers, to our coverage of Election Night 2012. It’s been a long presidential campaign, and although that’s surely what will dominate the conversation tonight, we’ll be keeping you in-the-loop on the important local issues as well. Now, we know that there’s no way we can actually provide you with results calls or holograms or whatever new thing CNN is doing now. But we will try and provide you with some context as the night goes on and pull in some of the best analysis we can find on the web. We’ll also be giving you an idea of how people are getting the results around campus. So stay with us — we’re in it until midnight or whenever they call Ohio, whichever comes first. Refresh for updates.

11:35 — The Thrill is signing off. Go home and celebrate/mourn. Thanks for reading!

11:22 — The Empire State Building has called the election for Obama.

11:19 — CNN has called Ohio and the presidency for Barack Obama.

11:18 — Missouri has gone for Romney. No matter, the Obama campaign is beginning to send victory emails.

11:15 — NBC News projects Barack Obama will will reelection. CNN and AP have NOT called this yet. CNN has called Oregon for Obama.

11:10 — Iowa goes to Obama. With all the attention Iowa gets, you’d think it was a real game changer, but it has all of six electoral votes. Still, there is cheering at Obama’s Chicago headquarters. Also for Obama: New Mexico, with five votes. Obama is now at 249 votes, just 21 from victory, and the trends tonight are favoring Obama.

11:06 — CNN projects that the Senate will remain in Democratic hands, and the House will remain in GOP control. Dem victories include Brown in Ohio, McCaskill in Missouri, Kaine in Virginia, and Warren in Massachusetts.

11:05 — John King says Romney’s plans A, B, C and D are dead, and “forgive me,” but plan E’s usually don’t work.

11:03 — CNN projects Wisconsin, the home state of Romney running mate Paul Ryan, goes to Obama. North Carolina, an Obama win in 2008, goes to Romney. Ten more electoral votes for Obama, 15 more for Romney.

11:00 — At this moment on Election Night four years ago, CNN called the election for Obama. It’s not going to be as early of a night tonight. CNN calls California for Obama as expected, along with Washington and Hawaii (no Oregon yet), but that’s not enough to put him over the top yet — Florida and Ohio are still up in the air, although both are currently leaning towards Obama. Romney also gets four votes in Idaho and three in Montana. Current CNN count: 228 Obama, 176 Romney.

10:56 —  Seems like Obama will be making his speech tonight from inside some sort of arena in Chicago, not from Grant Park as he did four years ago.

10:50 — Wolf Blitzer of CNN reports Minnesota for Obama, Arizona for Romney. Minnesota has a gay marriage amendment on the ballot , and it will be interesting to see how those results turn out in light of this.

10:48 — CNN’s Erin Burnett is reporting from downtown Columbus outside the Ohio Statehouse.

10:45 — Democrat Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin is the first openly gay person elected to the U.S. Senate. John King is still making his case for why Obama is likely to win Florida once all the votes are counted. Same with Ohio, King says.

10:38 — No big updates now. At 11:00 California will close and bring Obama 55 electoral votes closer to a possible victory. North Carolina looks like it will be close; Florida is still close with about 90% reporting and Ohio lags behind with just over 50% reporting.

10:17 — Collegian photo editor Sam Colt ’14 reports from the Kenyon Republicans election watch party:

From the Beta Division Lounge in Leonard Hall: Excluding myself, there are 11 students here. The mood here is optimistic, if not exuberant. Fists were pumped when Fox News pundits called Utah, the most conservative state in the nation, for Romney. No one said a word when Brett Baier called Wisconsin for Obama. Half of those here are pretending to do homework; the other half have given up that fight and are listening to the Fox commentators. “I think we’re going to win all 50 states, and the House and the Senate,” said Kenyon Republicans Co-President Myra Eckenhoff ’13. When one student yelled “Noooooooooo!” upon hearing that Todd Akin had lost his senatorial bid in Missouri, a couple of other students responded quickly, “You wanted him to win?” Sarah Palin has come on, and some want to change the channel. No dice.

10:10 — NBC and CBS have projected that Todd “Legitimate Rape” Akin will lose to incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill for Missouri Senator. McCaskill funded ads supporting Akin during the GOP primary because he was perceived as easiest to beat.

10:01 — Collegian editor-in-chief Lili Martinez encourages you to record an election night reaction video and send it to Al Jazeera news here. You can see the final version here.

9:57 — NBC are being eager beavers and calling Wisconsin and New Mexico for Obama even though most other networks haven’t yet.

9:51 — CNN’s John King is using his magic map to point out that the parts of Florida with unreported votes are heavily-populated Democratic areas like Miami-Dade County. With Obama currently holding a very narrow lead over Romney is the state, this is good news for him.

9:46 — CNN has called the Massachusetts Senate race for Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren. The Republican incumbent, Scott Brown, was elected in a 2010 special election after the death of liberal lion Ted Kennedy.

9:41 — The Associated Press has called incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown as the winner in the Ohio senate race, defeating Republican challenger Josh Mandel.

9:37 — With 13,398 votes cast, the Mount Vernon school levy appears to have been defeated by a margin of 308 votes.

9:35 — With Pennsylvania called for Obama, he is now likely within 50 electoral votes of the 270 needed to win, if we go ahead and project him sweeping the West coast.

9:32 — Obama and Romney are neck and neck in Florida with 80% reporting. Wolf Blitzer is hyperventilating about a repeat of 2000.

9:28 — Pennsylvania has been called for Obama by Fox News, ABC, CBS, and NBC. Obama winning Pennsylvania is a big step towards a victory.

9:13 — Times has called Michigan for Obama. It was favored for Obama, but not a sure thing. Mitt Romney’s father George was governor of Michigan.

9:03 — With some early results from Knox County, it looks like supporters of the school levy are flagging behind its opponents. Right now, with 25 out of 35 precincts reporting, it’s 52.14% against and 47.86% for the levy. But of course, there are still 10 precincts to hear from before anything is final on the levy.

8:37 — Results have started to come in for Knox County. Only one precinct so far, so it means almost nothing, but here is where you can monitor the results live. In other news, CNN just reported at officials in Virginia are saying the polls could be open as late as 11:00 p.m.

8:20 — Massachusetts, the state Mitt Romney was governor of, has been called for Obama, as has Delaware, Joe Biden’s home state.

8:16 — Virginia Senate race update: Hank the Cat has garnered over 1,000 votes, with 25% reporting.

8:14 — CNN has called Georgia for Romney. Not surprised. Go Dawgs?

8:10 — No big surprises recently. Illinois called for Obama, Oklahoma for Romney, both by the Times. Additionally, Connecticut goes for Obama. According to the Times, voters are still in line in Virginia, which will delay some reporting.

8:05 — The New York Times has called Indiana for Romney. This is the first state Obama won in 2008 that he’s lost this time around. (Indiana usually goes Republican; 2008 was an outlier.)

7:46 — It’s worth noting the the AP, which is really the gold standard in calling these things, are being less bullish than the networks. They haven’t called South Carolina or Indiana for Romney yet.

7:37 — The New York Times calls West Virginia for Romney.

7:30 — Polls in Ohio have just closed. The Thrill‘s Audrey Davis reports that when she voted at the Gambier Community Center this morning, there were free homemade baked goods! Just another reason why democracy is best.

No more solid calls yet. Many networks are going ahead and calling a lot of Southern states for Romney, giving him the lead in the electoral college count at the moment.

7:22 — Confirming our previous assertion that at this point the results mean nothing, Florida is now baby blue on the Times website.

7:14 — With one percent of precincts reporting (read: this means nothing), The New York Times has shaded Florida pink. That’s just one shade from red!

7:05 — NPR calls Indiana for Romney.

7:03 — CNN exit polls currently have Virginia tied at 49-49, with sizable Romney leads in Indiana.

7:00 — CNN calls Vermont for Obama, Kentucky for Romney. Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina, and Virginia not being called by CNN. (Although Georgia, Indiana, and South Carolina are all heavily favored for Romney.)

6:30 — The first round of (mostly unreliable) exit polls are out. If this stat is true, is just another sign of the changing demographics of the American electorate — and probably good for Obama.

6:15 — It would seem that today, your Ohio vote does count more than if you cast it somewhere else. According to a statistician at Columbia University, quoted by the Atlantic Wire, any single voter in Ohio has a 1-in-one-million chance of deciding the presidential election. So I hope you thought about that one good and hard. In other news: 45 minutes until the first polls close on the East Coast.

6:00 — Polls don’t close for another hour, but that doesn’t mean we can’t look at early voting results! This spreadsheet, which was put together by Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman, shows the final early voting totals for every Ohio county. At the bottom, he breaks down how the counties where Obama did well in 2008 are going this year. It doesn’t look great for the incumbent: his counties are down 4.10% in turnout, while those that split for Bush are up 14.39%. Democratic turnout is still higher than Republican, though. And our dear old Knox County? Down 3.08% on turnout.

9 responses

    • He’s comparing early voter turnout in historically Democratic precincts with early voter turnout in historically GOP-leaning precincts. So basically, the raw data makes it look like Romney might have sliced into Obama’s early vote lead form 2008 (maybe).

  1. Pingback: The Kenyon Observer’s Election Coverage | The Kenyon Observer

  2. I really hate how closed minded people are at this school. I voted for Romney. yes! we do exist. But if I told anyone at Kenyon I would be hated. There is no room for differing opinions. C’mon people, just because someone disagrees with you, doesn’t mean they are a moron.

    • People aren’t just close minded at liberal campuses like Kenyon. I am more of a moderate, but I come from an extremely conservative area where most of my community members are single-issue voters. They are uninformed about the majority of the issues, and I feel like I can’t voice any of my opinions because if I don’t 100% agree with what they say, I will LITERALLY be shunned. In fact, I feel like people here are much more open minded because they are more informed about their decisions. While everyone here may not agree with what you have to say, they are open to disagreement and truly listen. They do not hate you for your political positions. Back home, however, my community members do not even take the time to listen to differing opinions and ACTIVELY HATE anyone who disagrees with them

    • I agree that some people here are extremely close-minded when it comes to this election. I was also one of the few people here that voted for Romney, and after discussing it with a few people, swore not to tell anyone else. There were numerous women who told me that they would consider it a personal offense if I did not vote for Barack Obama. While I understood their issue with Romney’s policies on women, I tried to explain to them that there is so much more to this election than one issue. Unfortunately, they failed to understand where I was coming from. On the bright side, there were at least a few people that could see that I voted for Romney on the belief that his plans for the economy are stronger than Obama’s, but I was still a little shocked to find that a campus otherwise so welcoming could be close-minded to something like this.

  3. Pingback: The AV: Tracking Election Results | The Kenyon Observer

  4. Come on the upside to all this is that Obama won’t be able to blame Bush at the end of his second term.

    However, earthquakes, tsunamis, ATMS, the house, automated kiosks, Boehner, Standard and Poor’s, slurpees, wall street and the Gingerbread man are still on the table.

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